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Visualization

Drawdown & Risk of Ruin Simulator

"We optimize survival, not lottery returns."

Strategy Parameters

55%
2%
1x
100

Risk Metrics

Probability of Ruin0.0%
Avg Max Drawdown
17.9%
Avg Final Equity
4300K
10th %ile
1793K
90th %ile
7591K
Surviving Paths
Ruined Paths
Starting Capital

How it works

  • • Higher risk per trade increases both upside and ruin probability
  • Leverage amplifies both gains and losses proportionally
  • • Even winning strategies can face ruin with improper position sizing

What this means for investors

At Kekkei, survival comes first. We stress-test every strategy through thousands of Monte Carlo simulations to ensure our risk of ruin stays near zero. The goal isn't maximum returns—it's maximum returns conditional on survival.